Do Not Fear vs Steer Clear Vol. 1- DB

16 08 2010

(-The Fantasy Guys…DB)

This is where I will tell you who I feel you should or shouldn’t target in your Fantasy Football draft. The “Do Not Fear” section are guys I love and would 100% target in the draft. As you may have guessed, the “Steer Clear” section are guys I would not draft if you paid me. Don’t forget to leave comments and questions!

“Do Not Fear”

Quarterback – Joe Flacco – Flacco slowly is emerging as one of the better young quarterbacks in the NFL. Last year Flacco threw for 21 scores and over 3,600 yards, and he did that with beyond a mediocre wide out corps. The big splash they made in the offseason this year was adding Anquan Boldin, a great possession wide receiver who is a hard-nosed player and is great in open space. In my opinion Boldin is a Terrell Owens lite type of player. Boldin will help Flacco tons and with Ray Rice in the back field and in the flats do not be surprised if we see 4,000 yards and 30+ touchdowns this year.

Running Back – Arian Foster – BUY HIGH!!!! Everyone, (as long as you have been doing your research) has been hearing about this guy since the end of last year. Well since Ben Tate, the Houston Texans rookie sprinter out of Auburn, got hurt in their 1st pre-season game, it will be Arian Foster early and often. Steve Slaton was a one-year wonder and no one should be scared that he is going to threaten Foster. This 5’11 230lbs undrafted free agent rushed for 216 yards on 39 carries in the final two games, that’s 5.5 yards per carry average. Sure it’s a small sample size but all the signs are pointing to Foster being for real, especially with that potent aerial attack. Lets not forget Foster did end the 2009-2010 season with a 20-carry, 117-yard performance against New England.

Wide Receiver – Greg Jennings – He is everything you want in a wide receiver in the NFL and even more in fantasy football. Not only does he has tremendous speed and is a deep threat every play, he is getting passes thrown to him by arguably the #1 quarterback in fantasy football. Aaron Rodgers stock has risen and as his average draft position raises so too should Jennings’. In a potent Green Bay offense that features plenty of options, Jennings still reigns supreme. Yes his 4 touchdowns last year were a bit surprising in a bad way, but I’m confident that his chances of 10-12 TD’s are higher than 5 or less. Over the last two years only two wide-outs had 5 or more game of over 100 yards receiving, 1. Andre Johnson…the other…you guessed it, Greg Jennings.

Tight End – Vernon Davis – In the early years of Davis’ career he suffered from stone hands. No one doubted his athletic abilities but the simple and blunt facts were he couldn’t catch a cold. Things have changed and Davis had a heck of a year in 2009-2010 and has made my list. The fact of the matter is that the 49ers offense relies on Alex Smith, Frank Gore a tremendously inexperienced Michael Crabtree and Vernon Davis. Davis should be a prime target for Smith, especially in the red zone where it counts.

Defense – Cincinnati Bengals – Without a doubt the best corner tandem in the NFL with Leon Hall and Jonathan Joseph. Yes, better than Revis (if he plays) and Cromartie. Their linebackers are young, quick and hit very hard, Keith Rivers and Ray Maualuga. Their front seven stuff the run well and the fact is you never want to reach for defense. You can easily get this very solid defense very late in the draft and not have to worry about a thing.

“Steer Clear”

Quarterback – Phillip Rivers – Yes he has a huge arm, and he can make the tough throws but this year I feel he is in for a world of hurt. Vincent Jackson is out for at least three games, the running game is way to reliant on Ryan Matthews (I’ll get to him shortly) and that leaves defenses to feast on Rivers and target Antonio Gates. Ladanian Tomlinson is gone as well and yes his production tailed off especially last year but he was still a leader and a piece of the puzzle, too much negativity surrounding Phillip Rivers.

Running Back – Ryan Mathews – I don’t mean to pick on the San Diego Chargers but the stock on Mathews is waaaaay too high. People have this guy going in the 1st round which leaves me befuddled because it simply doesn’t make sense. He is a rookie for crying out loud, and not one of those top 5 CJ Spiller-esque type of running backs coming out of the draft. The same reasons Rivers will struggle as will Mathews. That plus the fact that he has never played in an NFL game and the burden of replacing the greatest running back in team history rests on his shoulders. Good luck kid.

Wide Receiver – Larry Fitzgerald – For the price you are going to have to pay to get him, late 1st round, early 2nd round, he isn’t worth it THIS year. Last year sure but that is because of one thing, Matt Leinart. It’s the first time he will get the reigns as the captain of the ship and well, it’s taken him a long time to get to this spot, I don’t have much confidence in him. Lets not forget the loss of Anquan Boldin, leaving the threats alongside Fitz to be Steve Breaston and Early Doucet.

Tight End – Jason Witten – An Achilles injury that has lingered for two seasons has really hurt Witten on and off the field. Tony Romo has a slew of options to throw to with the addition of three running backs that can catch the ball. Witten is a workhorse but the injury along with only one football leaves me with bout about the Dallas tight end.

Defense – New York Jets – Shocking I know but you need to think about the facts as of this moment. Everyone will be drafting the Jets as the consensus number one defense, probably making the mistake of drafting them early. Now think about the Darrelle Revis situation, if Revis is out for ANY amount of time this defense isn’t even in the same stratosphere as it is being projected. That’s a big risk in the draft process of the Jets to me, so I will pass and take a defense later.

– David “The Mouth” Berov

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